Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Analysis — Probabli.AI
AI-powered analysis for CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.): probabilistic price forecasts, technical signals, peer comparison, institutional ownership, earnings history, and social sentiment. Latest AI outlook: Bullish.
← Consumer Discretionary Stocks
Last price: $28.73 · Market cap: $36.4B · AI outlook: Bullish
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) trades at an attractive entry valuation near its 52-week low ($28.73), having absorbed temporary margin pressures despite achieving solid same-store sales growth and revenue in line with expectations. Consensus Wall Street price targets imply an upside of over 45%, reflecting strong operational fundamentals, unrivaled brand loyalty, and powerful unit economics. While…
Probabilistic 1-Year Outlook
- Bull 60% · Neutral 25% · Bear 15%
- 1-year price estimates — P10: $25 / P50: $39 / P90: $46
- Trading near its 52-week low ($28.73) after temporary margin headwinds, CMG presents compelling mean-reversion potential. Wall Street maintains a strong BUY consensus with a median price target of $40.00 (+45.7%…
5-Year Outlook
- Bull 65% · Neutral 23% · Bear 12%
- 5-year price estimates — P10: $36 / P50: $68 / P90: $95
SWOT Highlights
- Strength: Undisputed category leader in fast-casual dining with tremendous brand affinity
- Strength: Industry-leading digital platform and loyalty rewards program driving repeat sales
- Risk: Recent quarterly EPS pressure driven by elevated labor costs and input inflation
- Risk: Heavy revenue concentration within North America (over 95% of locations)
Major Catalysts
- [object Object]
- [object Object]
- [object Object]
Analyst Coverage & Dividends
35 Wall Street analysts rate CMG a BUY with a mean price target of $41.85.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash. How this forecast works · Accuracy & validation.
CMG forecast details · CMG sentiment details
Recent saved forecast research
AI-generated research records, not evaluated investment results.
- Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) — saved
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) trades at an attractive entry valuation near its 52-week low ($28.73), having absorbed temporary margin pressures despite achieving solid same-store sales growth and revenue in line with expectations. Consensus
- Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) — saved
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. exhibits robust revenue growth potential, underpinned by proactive innovation and strategic expansion initiatives. Despite some risks from labor costs and supply chain exposure, strong brand equity, a loyal cust
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.