EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) Stock Analysis — Probabli.AI
AI-powered analysis for EME (EMCOR Group, Inc.): probabilistic price forecasts, technical signals, peer comparison, institutional ownership, earnings history, and social sentiment.
Last price: $686.20 · Market cap: $30.8B
EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is an elite specialty contractor at the confluence of several secular mega-trends: AI infrastructure buildouts, domestic advanced manufacturing reshoring, and electrical grid modernization. Trading around $686 after a pullback from 52-week highs near $952, the company recently reported record Q3 results, beat consensus expectations substantially, and raised full-year 2026…
Probabilistic 1-Year Outlook
- Bull 65% · Neutral 25% · Bear 10%
- 1-year price estimates — P10: $580 / P50: $915 / P90: $1,150
- EMCOR is executing exceptionally well with four consecutive quarters of earnings beats and a +13.1% average surprise. With 20.7% revenue growth guidance, raised full-year outlook, and structural multi-year tailwinds…
5-Year Outlook
- Bull 60% · Neutral 25% · Bear 15%
- 5-year price estimates — P10: $850 / P50: $1,550 / P90: $2,150
SWOT Highlights
- Strength: Industry-leading market position in complex electrical and mechanical specialty construction.
- Strength: Flawless execution record with a 4-quarter earnings beat streak and average +13.1% EPS surprise.
- Risk: Low direct dividend yield of 0.23%, prioritizing reinvestment and share repurchases over income.
- Risk: Exposure to regional skilled craft labor shortages, which can pressure wage costs.
Major Catalysts
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Analyst Coverage & Dividends
11 Wall Street analysts rate EME a BUY with a mean price target of $1,020.43. EMCOR Group, Inc. currently pays a dividend with a yield of approximately 0.23%.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash. How this forecast works · Accuracy & validation.
EME forecast details · EME sentiment details
Recent saved forecast research
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- EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) — saved
EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is an elite specialty contractor at the confluence of several secular mega-trends: AI infrastructure buildouts, domestic advanced manufacturing reshoring, and electrical grid modernization. Trading around $686 after
- EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) — saved
EMCOR Group, Inc. exhibits a bullish outlook driven by robust revenue growth forecasts, a series of positive analyst upgrades, and strategic expansion initiatives. With a solid track record of earnings surprises and an ambitious sustainabil
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