TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Analysis — Probabli.AI
AI-powered analysis for TPG (TPG Inc.): probabilistic price forecasts, technical signals, peer comparison, institutional ownership, earnings history, and social sentiment. Latest AI outlook: Bullish.
Last price: $47.58 · Market cap: $2026.00T · AI outlook: Bullish
TPG Inc. is positioned attractively at the intersection of private equity recovery and secular private credit expansion. Following the integration of Angelo Gordon, TPG has evolved into a fully scaled, multi-strategy alternative asset platform. With a strong earnings track record, double-digit forward revenue growth projections (18.7%), and active dealmaking in high-demand verticals such as data…
Probabilistic 1-Year Outlook
- Bull 60% · Neutral 25% · Bear 15%
- 1-year price estimates — P10: $37 / P50: $58 / P90: $72
- TPG displays strong fundamentals with an active 4-quarter earnings beat streak (+11.6% average EPS surprise), consensus BUY recommendation across 17 analysts, and an implied upside of ~22-26% toward the $58-$60 target.…
5-Year Outlook
- Bull 65% · Neutral 20% · Bear 15%
- 5-year price estimates — P10: $48 / P50: $95 / P90: $145
SWOT Highlights
- Strength: Diversified global alternative asset manager with over $220B in AUM spanning Private Equity, Credit, Real Estate, and Impact.
- Strength: Consistent financial execution evidenced by 4 consecutive quarters of earnings beats and a +11.6% average EPS surprise.
- Risk: High GAAP payout ratio (186.5%) caused by variable dividend policies tied to distributable earnings rather than smoothed net income.
- Risk: Quarterly earnings volatility driven by market mark-to-market valuations and timing of carried interest realizations.
Major Catalysts
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Analyst Coverage & Dividends
17 Wall Street analysts rate TPG a BUY with a mean price target of $58.14. TPG Inc. currently pays a dividend with a yield of approximately 4.35%.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash. How this forecast works · Accuracy & validation.
TPG forecast details · TPG sentiment details
Recent saved forecast research
AI-generated research records, not evaluated investment results.
- TPG Inc. (TPG) — saved
TPG Inc. is positioned attractively at the intersection of private equity recovery and secular private credit expansion. Following the integration of Angelo Gordon, TPG has evolved into a fully scaled, multi-strategy alternative asset platf
- TPG Inc. (TPG) — saved
TPG Inc. exhibits impressive revenue growth prospects and analyst support, making it an attractive investment. While regulatory scrutiny and macroeconomic risks exist, long-term potential remains strong due to global expansion, partnerships
- TPG Inc. (TPG) — saved
TPG Inc. is poised for growth based on strong fundamentals, recent positive performance indicators, and robust market positioning in growth sectors. While certain challenges exist, including scrutiny over acquisitions and European regulatio
- TPG Inc. (TPG) — saved
TPG Inc. is strategically positioned for long-term value creation through its robust portfolio, strong earnings performance, and proactive expansion into high-growth markets. Regulatory challenges and market competition present navigable ri
- TPG Inc. (TPG) — saved
TPG Inc. is on a strong trajectory with its proactive initiatives in emerging technologies and capital expansion. The firm exhibits solid execution in its strategy, supported by substantial fundraising and an increase in shareholder returns
- TPG Inc. (TPG) — saved
TPG Inc. demonstrates a strong bullish outlook based on its extraordinary revenue growth projections, solid analyst support, and robust market initiatives in emerging sectors. Its strategic actions, such as increasing dividends and expandin
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