Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis — Probabli.AI
AI-powered analysis for WM (Waste Management, Inc.): probabilistic price forecasts, technical signals, peer comparison, institutional ownership, earnings history, and social sentiment. Latest AI outlook: Bullish.
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Last price: $225.92 · Market cap: $91.2B · AI outlook: Bullish
Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE: WM) represents a quintessential defensive compounder supported by irreplaceable infrastructure assets, exceptional pricing power, and resilient municipal revenue streams. While Q3 earnings reflected modest margin drag from sticky wage and operating inflation, core revenue grew over 6% year-over-year, and pricing discipline remained intact. Near-term catalysts such as…
Probabilistic 1-Year Outlook
- Bull 55% · Neutral 30% · Bear 15%
- 1-year price estimates — P10: $194 / P50: $256 / P90: $292
- WM holds an impenetrable moat via permitted landfill assets and sticky contractual pricing power. Despite near-term inflation and labor costs squeezing margins slightly in Q3, core price increases outpace cost…
5-Year Outlook
- Bull 60% · Neutral 25% · Bear 15%
- 5-year price estimates — P10: $262 / P50: $365 / P90: $475
SWOT Highlights
- Strength: Unrivaled network of permitted landfills presenting insurmountable regulatory barriers to entry
- Strength: Strong core pricing power exceeding core inflation via contractual CPI-linked price escalators
- Risk: Labor-intensive operations vulnerable to union wage inflation and driver turnover
- Risk: Moderate top-line volume sensitivity to commercial and construction cyclical downturns
Major Catalysts
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Analyst Coverage & Dividends
28 Wall Street analysts rate WM a BUY with a mean price target of $255.42. Waste Management, Inc. currently pays a dividend with a yield of approximately 1.67%.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash. How this forecast works · Accuracy & validation.
WM forecast details · WM sentiment details · WM insider activity
Recent saved forecast research
AI-generated research records, not evaluated investment results.
- Waste Management, Inc. (WM) — saved
Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE: WM) represents a quintessential defensive compounder supported by irreplaceable infrastructure assets, exceptional pricing power, and resilient municipal revenue streams. While Q3 earnings reflected modest marg
- Waste Management, Inc. (WM) — saved
Waste Management, Inc. demonstrates substantial resilience and potential for growth amidst regulatory challenges and market uncertainties. The company's emphasis on innovative waste handling technologies and sustainability positions it well
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