YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Analysis — Probabli.AI
AI-powered analysis for YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima): probabilistic price forecasts, technical signals, peer comparison, institutional ownership, earnings history, and social sentiment. Latest AI outlook: Bullish.
Last price: $48.16 · Market cap: $20.6B · AI outlook: Bullish
YPF Sociedad Anónima is experiencing a structural operational renaissance anchored by world-class unconventional assets in the Vaca Muerta formation and supportive domestic economic deregulation. With analysts projecting over 22% near-term upside toward $60, the company is strategically divesting high-cost mature fields (Project Andes) while prioritizing core shale expansion, vital export…
Probabilistic 1-Year Outlook
- Bull 55% · Neutral 25% · Bear 20%
- 1-year price estimates — P10: $35 / P50: $59 / P90: $72
- Near-term sentiment is bolstered by domestic economic deregulation in Argentina, pricing parity reforms for domestic fuels, and advancing infrastructure out of Vaca Muerta. Analyst targets point toward $58-$60, though…
5-Year Outlook
- Bull 60% · Neutral 22% · Bear 18%
- 5-year price estimates — P10: $32 / P50: $92 / P90: $145
SWOT Highlights
- Strength: Dominant acreage and low breakeven costs in Vaca Muerta, one of the world's premier unconventional shale plays
- Strength: Integrated business model across upstream, midstream, and domestic refining with strong fuel pricing power
- Risk: Historical vulnerability to Argentine sovereign macroeconomic instability and currency devaluation
- Risk: High capital expenditure requirements for unconventional drilling and multi-billion-dollar midstream infrastructure
Major Catalysts
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Analyst Coverage & Dividends
13 Wall Street analysts rate YPF a BUY with a mean price target of $58.9.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash. How this forecast works · Accuracy & validation.
YPF forecast details · YPF sentiment details
Recent saved forecast research
AI-generated research records, not evaluated investment results.
- YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — saved
YPF Sociedad Anónima is experiencing a structural operational renaissance anchored by world-class unconventional assets in the Vaca Muerta formation and supportive domestic economic deregulation. With analysts projecting over 22% near-term
- YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — saved
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) exhibits strong growth potential driven by a substantial increase in revenue, positive analyst sentiment, and strategic investments in renewable energy. The company's diversification efforts and innovative initiat
- YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — saved
YPF Sociedad Anónima demonstrates a balanced market outlook with promising initiatives in renewable energy and digital technologies potentially offsetting the concerns surrounding its debt levels and regulatory scrutiny. The strong position
- YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — saved
YPF Sociedad Anónima is poised for moderate growth driven by its diversification into renewable energy and strategic expansions in oil exploration. While its current high debt levels and regulatory challenges present risks, strong cash flow
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