NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) Stock Forecast 2026: P10, P50 & P90 — Probabli.AI
Timestamped NEXT stock forecast with 1-year P10, P50, and P90 price estimates, scenario probabilities, definitions, sources, and limitations.
Direct answer: NextDecade Corporation is transitioning from a high-risk development asset into a fully capitalized, commercial-scale LNG infrastructure leader. The Rio Grande LNG facility (Phase 1) is fully financed and actively progressing ahead of schedule under a lump-sum turnkey contract with Bechtel, meaningfully de-risking execution. Supported by a consistent streak of beating quarterly earnings estimates, solid coverage by institutional analysts, and strong long-term demand for low-carbon US LNG, NEXT presents an asymmetric upside profile. While leverage and regulatory/environmental scrutiny represent ongoing tail risks, operational milestones over the next 12 to 36 months should drive substantial valuation re-rating. The saved 1-year distribution is P10 $5.3, P50 $9.1, and P90 $12.8.
Last analyzed · Model: gemini-3.8-flash
NextDecade Corporation Forecast data
| Estimate | 1-year price | Meaning |
|---|
| P10 | $5.3 | Pessimistic plausible scenario |
| P50 | $9.1 | Median scenario |
| P90 | $12.8 | Optimistic plausible scenario |
What the numbers mean
P10, P50, and P90 are model-generated scenario estimates: roughly a pessimistic plausible outcome, a median outcome, and an optimistic plausible outcome. They are not calibrated confidence intervals.
Supporting analysis
Rio Grande LNG Train 1-3 construction is progressing ahead of schedule with commercial momentum, supported by a 5-quarter earnings beat streak and favorable analyst sentiment. Capital execution risk and macroeconomic commodity exposure remain the primary near-term drag.
Sources and limitations
Market and company inputs are primarily sourced through Yahoo Finance and public financial-data interfaces. This page reports a saved AI-generated scenario analysis as of the timestamp above; it is not live data, audited probability, financial advice, or a guaranteed return.
Frequently asked questions
When was this NEXT analysis generated?
October 30, 2026.
Is this a guaranteed NEXT prediction?
No. It is a model-generated scenario assessment with material uncertainty.
View the full NEXT stock analysis · NEXT sentiment · Methodology · Accuracy & validation
The information on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.